Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.422966 4.043541 4.771022 5.693703 6.842581 8.238894 10.084152
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.479659 3.224815 4.209660 5.634351 7.690056 10.625730 15.282172
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.047819 2.828956 3.943761 5.703974 8.517250 13.034336 21.278583
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.752863 2.536273 3.723134 5.732946 9.227656 15.429950 28.264025
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.584227 2.387958 3.672351 5.991048 10.355067 18.890564 38.947659
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.387406 2.157278 3.438992 5.871680 10.750050 21.087564 48.180639
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.249556 1.999107 3.295172 5.873761 11.369335 23.971247 60.898654
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.123966 1.842246 3.125180 5.784309 11.765426 26.499080 74.453756
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.046737 1.758830 3.074084 5.919805 12.699946 30.763510 97.006498
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.951827 1.630539 2.917457 5.798275 12.988111 33.422696 116.419910
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.923933 1.623171 2.995535 6.210176 14.754469 41.323560 166.460209
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.881513 1.582053 2.997998 6.447412 16.138938 48.834502 226.106710
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.836839 1.541348 3.017535 6.793430 18.176207 60.896834 342.276631
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.763052 1.434308 2.881389 6.730358 19.021527 69.496575 465.360791
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.709563 1.361558 2.808532 6.816094 20.415693 82.007309 673.067837
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.659812 1.289851 2.725438 6.852121 21.676692 95.478265 967.787845
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.631014 1.260062 2.737541 7.173032 24.224972 119.606748 1607.209499
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.582064 1.178579 2.607885 7.024530 24.802956 132.699338 2207.784887
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.545506 1.121245 2.530948 7.027118 26.075900 152.993567 3311.882404
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.508000 1.057376 2.427295 6.915926 26.792977 170.692347 4759.049568
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.485225 1.026006 2.405806 7.084384 29.021459 206.411694 8326.999462
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.452819 0.967694 2.301961 6.933282 29.527485 227.273561 12258.747278
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.445723 0.971011 2.371324 7.446010 34.115681 306.388465 31428.675783